The image below shows the stats of currently affected people worldwide split by condition - mild (95%) or serious (5%).
Bottom of the image shows the recovery to fatality ratio which is currently at 84:16. Meaning, out of 100 corona affected persons worldwide, 16 died and rest recovered. Fatality rate is 16% now. Few days back it was 14% and has increased to 16%.
Let us come to an interesting thing. The total affected patients as of now is 392k (392,527 see top of image). How many of this 392k will recover?
The ones that have a mild condition? If the virus kills at the current rate then the fatality world be 16% of 392k. The stats show that only 5% are critical.
Assuming all those who are critical will die, where do the balance fatality of 11% (16%-5%) come from?
This will come from those whose condition is currently mild.
So we are looking at a fatality rate that is 16% of all affected people and the rate seems to be rising. We are also looking at good number of mildly affected patients might die.
How will the end game will play out (fatality becomes zero)?
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