Wednesday, July 29, 2020

Tracking And Estimating Covid-19 Cases In India

I created this spreadsheet:

I tracked total CUMULATIVE cases and deaths in India from Apr 21, 2020. The numbers were fairly low on this date - about 20,000 cases and 600 deaths total. 

The cases and deaths data for each date have been taken taken from 
https://www.covid19india.org/

As of Jul 29, 2020 there are about 1.5 million cases (including recovered cases and deaths) and 34,000 deaths.

The cases are currently doubling in 20 days while deaths are doubling at a slower pace: at 28 days.

The cases are increasing at about 3.5%/day while deaths are increasing at 2.4% / day. At the current rate, India will have about 41 million cases and 323,000 deaths by end of October 2020.

Note:

  1. I have assumed that cases and deaths increase at the SAME rate to October as they are now.
  2. Data till current date are actuals, while data for future dates (colored rows) are estimates.

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